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Panama play England on Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC at Lumen Field, Seattle, in Match 71, the last round of Group L, simultaneous with Croatia vs Ghana. Our Form-5 model favors England at 38.9% — Panama's hope rests on the 2018 rematch narrative ending differently and on results elsewhere `previous results`.
The only previous World Cup meeting was England's 6-1 in Russia 2018 — Panama's structure today is unrecognizable from that side `showing much greater tactical discipline`.
England's risk is the classic already-qualified flatness; Panama's path is surviving the first 30 minutes.
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PanamaEnglandFutbolTech's Form-5 model converts each team's last five results into a form score (win = 3, draw = 1), then derives win probabilities from relative strength, with a fixed draw constant based on World Cup group-stage history. It's simple, transparent, and you can beat it — submit your own exact score and climb our leaderboard.
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