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Turkey face the United States on Friday, June 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM UTC at SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles, in Match 55, the final round of Group D. Our Form-5 model: USA 65.0% · Draw 20.0% · USA 15.0% — with the simultaneous Australia–Paraguay result deciding what each side actually needs.
, riding home support through the group.Tactically this is Turkey's creative half-spaces against the USMNT's athletic midfield — the game opens up late if either side is chasing the qualification math.
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TurkeyUSAFutbolTech's Form-5 model converts each team's last five results into a form score (win = 3, draw = 1), then derives win probabilities from relative strength, with a fixed draw constant based on World Cup group-stage history. It's simple, transparent, and you can beat it — submit your own exact score and climb our leaderboard.