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Portugal play Colombia on Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC at Levi's Stadium, San Francisco, in Match 45 — the heavyweight clash of Group K. Our Form-5 model has it tight: Portugal 52.4% · Draw 19.0% · Colombia 28.6%. Whoever wins almost certainly tops the group and avoids a harder Round of 32 path.
Colombia arrive after opening against Uzbekistan `their opener`; Portugal after DR Congo `their opener`.
The tactical battle: Colombia's left side — `Luis Díaz` against Portugal's right-back — is where this match lives. Portugal's midfield control versus Colombia's transitions is the second axis. Historical head-to-head: `they drew 0-0 in their last friendly meeting`. Both sides reaching this match unbeaten would make a draw a mutually acceptable result — our model's draw probability reflects that.
Our model gives the favorite a strong edge today. Here's a number with no model behind it — just reality: in vulnerable communities across Latin America, fewer than 1 in 10 young people make it to university. Through FutbolTech scholarships, 10+ students are already there. FutbolTech was born to serve players exactly like the kids watching this match in Cali, Medellín and Barranquilla.
Portugal
ColombiaFutbolTech's Form-5 model converts each team's last five results into a form score (win = 3, draw = 1), then derives win probabilities from relative strength, with a fixed draw constant based on World Cup group-stage history. It's simple, transparent, and you can beat it — submit your own exact score and climb our leaderboard.