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Spain play Uruguay on Monday, June 22, 2026 at `8:00 PM UTC` at `Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia`, in Match 39 of Group F — likely the match that decides who tops the group. Our Form-5 model: Spain 48.1% · Draw 14.8% · Uruguay 37.0%. Uruguay's last World Cup meeting with a European giant they were supposed to lose to didn't go to plan for the favorite — La Celeste's history in big group matches is the most important context for this prediction.
Spain's possession-and-press system under `Luis de la Fuente` has been `consistent` since their Euro 2024 `championship victory`.
Their half-spaces against compact blocks are where Uruguay typically suffers.The new generation — `Darwin Núñez and Manuel Ugarte` — is more dynamic than the veteran side but potentially less experienced in high-pressure elimination scenarios. Uruguay's path to a result here is the same as always: defensive organization + one transition goal.
Girls in Latin America are far less likely than boys to have access to organized football. FutbolTech's Women's Soccer program backs clubs like Colombo CEP Futsal Feminino to change that.
SpainUruguayFutbolTech's Form-5 model converts each team's last five results into a form score (win = 3, draw = 1), then derives win probabilities from relative strength, with a fixed draw constant based on World Cup group-stage history. It's simple, transparent, and you can beat it — submit your own exact score and climb our leaderboard.