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Curaçao play Ecuador on Sunday, June 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM UTC at AT&T Stadium, Dallas, in Match 34 of Group E. Our Form-5 model makes Ecuador clear favorites at 38.1% against the smallest nation ever to qualify for a World Cup — but Curaçao's run here already broke every model.
, anchored by one of CONMEBOL's best defensive records in qualifying `with 5 clean sheets`.
CuraçThe gap in squad depth is real; the danger for Ecuador is a slow start against a team with nothing to lose after facing Germany in their opener `their opener`.
Our model gives the favorite a strong edge today. Here's a number with no model behind it — just reality: in vulnerable communities across Latin America, fewer than 1 in 10 young people make it to university. Through FutbolTech scholarships, 10+ students are already there.
EcuadorFutbolTech's Form-5 model converts each team's last five results into a form score (win = 3, draw = 1), then derives win probabilities from relative strength, with a fixed draw constant based on World Cup group-stage history. It's simple, transparent, and you can beat it — submit your own exact score and climb our leaderboard.