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The United States play Australia on Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC at Levi's Stadium, San Francisco, in Match 31 of Group D. Our Form-5 model rates the host USMNT at 17.6% to win — a result that would put one foot in the Round of 32 before the Turkey clash.
Australia's identity under `` is organized, physical, dangerous on set pieces — exactly the profile that has historically bothered the US.
Home crowd and squad depth tilt it; the Socceroos' ceiling is a draw earned in the duels.
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USAAustraliaFutbolTech's Form-5 model converts each team's last five results into a form score (win = 3, draw = 1), then derives win probabilities from relative strength, with a fixed draw constant based on World Cup group-stage history. It's simple, transparent, and you can beat it — submit your own exact score and climb our leaderboard.