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Brazil face Haiti on Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, in Match 29 of Group C. Our Form-5 model gives Brazil a 55.6% win probability — the question isn't the result, it's the goal difference that could decide who tops Group C ahead of Morocco and Scotland.
Haiti's qualification is already one of the stories of this World Cup, and their compact low block frustrated stronger sides during qualifying `as seen in their matches against Costa Rica`.
Brazil's pattern against deep blocks is patience plus width — expect chances to come late.
Our model gives the favorite a strong edge today. Here's a number with no model behind it — just reality: in vulnerable communities across Latin America, fewer than 1 in 10 young people make it to university. Through FutbolTech scholarships, 10+ students are already there.
BrazilHaitiFutbolTech's Form-5 model converts each team's last five results into a form score (win = 3, draw = 1), then derives win probabilities from relative strength, with a fixed draw constant based on World Cup group-stage history. It's simple, transparent, and you can beat it — submit your own exact score and climb our leaderboard.