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Match 22Group K

Colombia vs Uzbekistan: Match Prediction & Preview

Colombia
Colombia
VS
Predict Score1 - 1
Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan
Date & TimeWednesday, June 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM UTC
LocationLevi's StadiumSan Francisco, USA

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Match Prediction & Preview

Colombia play Uzbekistan on Tuesday, June 17, 2026 at `5:00 PM UTC` at `Levi's Stadium, San Francisco`, in Match 22 — Colombia's opening match of Group K at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Our Form-5 model: Colombia 26.1% · Draw 17.4% · Uzbekistan 56.5%. Colombia arrive ranked among CONMEBOL's top three sides after `their strong run in Copa América and qualifiers` — this opener is their chance to lay down a marker before the high-stakes M45 vs Portugal.

Predicted Score
Colombia1:1Uzbekistan
Win Probability:26.1% · 17.4% · 56.5%
Form Comparison
Colombia
(L-L-L-W-W)6 pts
Uzbekistan
(W-W-D-W-W)13 pts

Tactical Analysis

The spine of this team — `James Rodríguez and Luis Díaz` — combines World Cup experience with peak-age athleticism.

Colombia's pattern is control through midfield, width through the full-backs, and individual quality to unlock compact blocks. The risk zone: defensive transitions when the block is high and the counter is quick.The White Wolves qualified through `the AFC qualifying rounds` and represent Central Asia's biggest football moment in decades `their first ever World Cup tournament`. Their identity is organized, disciplined and hard to read — `their compact 5-3-2 defensive system`. They will not come to entertain; they will come to make Colombia earn every centimeter. Colombia need to start this tournament without injury and with confidence: a dominant performance here is worth more than the three points on the table going into the Portugal match.

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The other odds we're changing

Our model gives the favorite a strong edge today. Here's a number with no model behind it — just reality: in vulnerable communities across Latin America, fewer than 1 in 10 young people make it to university. Through FutbolTech scholarships, 10+ students are already there. FutbolTech was born to serve players exactly like the kids watching this match in Cali, Medellín and Barranquilla.

Win Probabilities (Form-5)

Colombia26.1%
Draw17.4%
Uzbekistan56.5%

Form Guide

ColombiaColombia
Last 5 matches:
LLLWW
UzbekistanUzbekistan
Last 5 matches:
WWDWW

Other Group K matches

M21
PortugalvsDR Congo
Jun 17
M45
PortugalvsColombia
Jun 24
M46
DR CongovsUzbekistan
Jun 24
M69
UzbekistanvsPortugal
Jun 28
M70
ColombiavsDR Congo
Jun 28

How we predict

FutbolTech's Form-5 model converts each team's last five results into a form score (win = 3, draw = 1), then derives win probabilities from relative strength, with a fixed draw constant based on World Cup group-stage history. It's simple, transparent, and you can beat it — submit your own exact score and climb our leaderboard.