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Ivory Coast play Ecuador on Sunday, June 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM UTC at AT&T Stadium, Dallas, in Match 10 of Group E. Our Form-5 model: Ecuador 43.5% · Draw 17.4% · Ecuador 39.1%. Ecuador arrive as one of CONMEBOL's most consistent qualifiers `in fourth place`; Ivory Coast bring AFCON experience and individual talent in attack that makes them the most dangerous opener Ecuador could have drawn.
Their CONMEBOL qualifying defensive record was `conceding only 4 goals in 18 matches` — one of the best in South America.
Ecuador's strength is structural: hard to break down, dangerous on set pieces, `Enner Valencia` as a reference point.The attacking core — `Sébastien Haller and Nicolas Pépé` — gives them the higher ceiling in open play, but the Elephants have historically been vulnerable in transitions against physical South American sides.
Our model gives the favorite a strong edge today. Here's a number with no model behind it — just reality: in vulnerable communities across Latin America, fewer than 1 in 10 young people make it to university. Through FutbolTech scholarships, 10+ students are already there.
Ivory CoastEcuadorFutbolTech's Form-5 model converts each team's last five results into a form score (win = 3, draw = 1), then derives win probabilities from relative strength, with a fixed draw constant based on World Cup group-stage history. It's simple, transparent, and you can beat it — submit your own exact score and climb our leaderboard.